31 – Tornado Part 2 – Present – Judgment

coverblackJudgment.  How emergency decision-making works; Judging those decisions with justice, fairness, and reason.  Compassion, empathy, grace, understanding, open-mindedness, and the willingness & imagination to entertain other perspectives definitely helps… but we systematically analyze the unconscious processes that account for fast, intuitive decisions with science and real-life examples.

Primarily a diegetic analysis, we use seven questions as our framework:

  1. Why didn’t Martha let Hank out?
  2. Why did they go for the overpass?
  3. Why go back for Hank?
  4. Why didn’t Jonathan send Clark?
  5. Why didn’t Clark act?
  6. Why did Jonathan hold up his hand?
  7. Why did Clark abide by that?

Answers, insights, and commentary on:

  • The wisdom of knowing that you don’t know and uncertainty
  • The Dunning-Kruger Effect and the Impostor Effect
  • Cognitive biases like hindsight bias, anchoring effect, priming, risk aversion, etc.
  • Deliberate and elemental analysis for fair judgments
  • Reasonable Person Standard with the same knowledge, experience, and circumstances
  • Why don’t we use a perfect person or optimal behavior standard?
  • The Emergency Doctrine
  • The Myth of Overpass Safety in 1997
  • Neuroscience behind why we love our dogs
  • The tragic tale of Tubby and the Tacoma Narrows Bridge
  • Flaws with incomplete utilitarian analysis
  • Hesitation with moral dilemmas regardless of the math
  • Clark as an unemancipated 17-year-old minor

…and more!

Science & Psychology of Fast Intuitive Decision-Making, Cognitive Bias:
Thinking, Fast and Slow | Daniel Kahneman
How You Really Make Decisions | BBC Horizon
Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking
| Malcolm Gladwell
Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics | Richard Thaler

Links:
Can You Solve This? 2, 4, 8 | Veritasium
The Dunning Kruger Effect | Wikipedia
Killing Babies, Saving The World | RadioLab
Cognition: How Your Mind Can Amaze & Betray You | Crash Course
Highway Overpasses as Tornado Shelters | National Weather Service
Oklahoma’s Deadliest Tornadoes | PBS Nova
The Power of Myth | Joseph Campbell
Galloping Gertie | 99% Invisible
Cognitive Bias Song | Brad Wray

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